Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.053439 0.057954 0.062522 0.067482 0.072709 0.078048 0.083904
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.046827 0.053534 0.060561 0.068443 0.077012 0.086018 0.096173
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.043327 0.051865 0.061081 0.071703 0.083546 0.096283 0.110955
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.037149 0.046624 0.057164 0.069644 0.083902 0.099572 0.117986
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.032897 0.043135 0.054843 0.069041 0.085611 0.104166 0.126336
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.029469 0.040281 0.052970 0.068700 0.087414 0.108717 0.134545
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.027951 0.039564 0.053489 0.071062 0.092293 0.116778 0.146804
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.026068 0.038217 0.053101 0.072217 0.095656 0.123026 0.156953
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.024311 0.036881 0.052601 0.073127 0.098648 0.128791 0.166526
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.022145 0.034845 0.051076 0.072639 0.099832 0.132326 0.173407
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.020850 0.033871 0.050828 0.073688 0.102863 0.138064 0.182931
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.019062 0.032091 0.049416 0.073149 0.103832 0.141235 0.189322
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.017682 0.030828 0.048668 0.073480 0.105952 0.145919 0.197716
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.016626 0.029958 0.048394 0.074399 0.108808 0.151527 0.207287
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016493 0.030432 0.049967 0.077795 0.114902 0.161248 0.222040
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014557 0.028062 0.047458 0.075585 0.113609 0.161607 0.225112
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013272 0.026595 0.046144 0.074931 0.114301 0.164443 0.231265
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012179 0.025349 0.045080 0.074561 0.115325 0.167677 0.237912
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011955 0.025497 0.046055 0.077056 0.120215 0.175931 0.250986
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011408 0.025069 0.046144 0.078275 0.123374 0.181951 0.261246
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010835 0.024554 0.046068 0.079236 0.126173 0.187510 0.270940
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009947 0.023428 0.045002 0.078719 0.126906 0.190338 0.277117
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009496 0.023043 0.045062 0.079827 0.129884 0.196137 0.287161